| Rank | Ticker | Expiration | Spread (Short/Long) | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | HL | 2026-06-18 | 17.0 / 16.0 | 70.4% | $0.30 | 0.00 |
| #2 | AG | 2026-05-15 | 20.0 / 19.0 | 67.6% | $0.30 | -0.02 |
| #3 | UUUU | 2026-06-18 | 16.0 / 15.0 | 68.2% | $0.28 | -0.04 |
*Negative Freedom Factor = Risk currently outweighs mathematical reward.
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UUUU | 16.5 / 15.5 | 73.1% | $0.19 | -0.08 |
| MRNA | 47.0 / 46.0 | 68.6% | $0.20 | -0.11 |
| AG | 20.5 / 19.5 | 71.6% | $0.13 | -0.15 |
| CDE | 18.0 / 17.0 | 69.1% | $0.10 | -0.21 |
| RKLB | 64.0 / 61.0 | 69.4% | $0.52 | -0.40 |
| MU | 350.0 / 345.0 | 69.5% | $1.10 | -0.43 |
| CF | 125.0 / 122.0 | 71.4% | $0.40 | -0.46 |
| LMND | 58.0 / 55.0 | 72.0% | $0.35 | -0.49 |
| GLW | 141.0 / 138.0 | 70.2% | $0.37 | -0.52 |
| VRT | 250.0 / 245.0 | 70.2% | $0.85 | -0.64 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UUUU | 16.5 / 15.5 | 68.9% | $0.21 | -0.10 |
| DYN | 17.0 / 16.0 | 70.0% | $0.20 | -0.10 |
| AG | 20.0 / 19.0 | 71.6% | $0.16 | -0.12 |
| TNDM | 18.0 / 17.0 | 70.5% | $0.18 | -0.12 |
| CDE | 17.5 / 16.5 | 71.7% | $0.15 | -0.13 |
| AMPX | 15.0 / 14.0 | 65.9% | $0.20 | -0.14 |
| SA | 28.0 / 27.0 | 70.3% | $0.15 | -0.15 |
| MRNA | 46.0 / 45.0 | 67.9% | $0.17 | -0.15 |
| HL | 18.0 / 17.0 | 68.9% | $0.15 | -0.16 |
| RKLB | 63.0 / 60.0 | 68.8% | $0.70 | -0.24 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HL | 17.5 / 16.5 | 71.7% | $0.18 | -0.10 |
| CDE | 17.0 / 16.0 | 73.9% | $0.15 | -0.11 |
| UUUU | 16.0 / 15.0 | 71.3% | $0.15 | -0.14 |
| MRNA | 45.0 / 44.0 | 72.0% | $0.09 | -0.19 |
| BE | 123.0 / 120.0 | 69.7% | $0.50 | -0.41 |
| RKLB | 62.0 / 59.0 | 69.1% | $0.49 | -0.44 |
| GLW | 137.0 / 134.0 | 69.8% | $0.40 | -0.51 |
| MU | 340.0 / 335.0 | 69.8% | $1.00 | -0.51 |
| LMND | 57.0 / 54.0 | 69.0% | $0.35 | -0.58 |
| VRT | 240.0 / 235.0 | 71.5% | $0.80 | -0.62 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HL | 17.5 / 16.5 | 70.1% | $0.18 | -0.12 |
| CDE | 17.0 / 16.0 | 71.5% | $0.15 | -0.14 |
| MRNA | 44.0 / 43.0 | 70.7% | $0.14 | -0.15 |
| UUUU | 16.0 / 15.0 | 70.5% | $0.09 | -0.21 |
| BTU | 31.0 / 30.0 | 68.6% | $0.09 | -0.22 |
| GLW | 135.0 / 132.0 | 70.1% | $0.20 | -0.70 |
| BE | 121.0 / 118.0 | 70.0% | $0.10 | -0.80 |
| CF | 122.0 / 119.0 | 69.3% | $0.10 | -0.82 |
| MU | 335.0 / 330.0 | 70.7% | $0.35 | -1.11 |
| VRT | 240.0 / 235.0 | 69.7% | $0.35 | -1.16 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UUUU | 16.0 / 15.0 | 69.6% | $0.18 | -0.12 |
| MU | 335.0 / 330.0 | 69.7% | $0.65 | -0.86 |
| VRT | 240.0 / 235.0 | 69.1% | $0.35 | -1.19 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AG | 20.0 / 19.0 | 67.6% | $0.30 | -0.02 |
| UUUU | 16.0 / 15.0 | 68.9% | $0.25 | -0.06 |
| HL | 17.0 / 16.0 | 72.1% | $0.17 | -0.11 |
| MRNA | 44.0 / 43.0 | 71.3% | $0.07 | -0.22 |
| SEI | 50.0 / 47.5 | 68.8% | $0.10 | -0.68 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UUUU | 16.0 / 15.0 | 68.9% | $0.09 | -0.22 |
| Ticker | Spread | Prob. Win | Net Credit | Freedom Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HL | 17.0 / 16.0 | 70.4% | $0.30 | 0.00 |
| UUUU | 16.0 / 15.0 | 68.2% | $0.28 | -0.04 |
| MRNA | 44.0 / 43.0 | 69.8% | $0.05 | -0.25 |